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Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed

What does this mean? →

USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral

Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate

10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable

Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. 14

Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. +0.72%

Regime Extreme fear - contrarian bullish Stressed

↑ Contrarian Bullish Contrarian signal: When fear is extreme, markets often overreact. Historically, buying during extreme fear has led to better returns. Fear & Greed at 14 The Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). Values below 25 or above 75 often signal turning points.

📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.

Updated 10m ago

● Elevated Activity Tension score 30

🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.

Updated 2h ago

Crypto

64% bullish

Fed

50% dovish

Recession

30% odds

Top Markets:

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $... 0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds r... 27%
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Ch... 83%

📅 Major economic events that can move markets. FOMC = Fed interest rate decisions. CPI = inflation data. NFP = jobs report. These events often cause volatility—consider reducing position sizes before them. Upcoming: In 3d: CPI Release

Today's Signals

Updated 21:00 UTC

₿ CRYPTO

BTC, ETH

Bullish ↗

Today's crypto market analysis is bullish, driven by the mixed macro context and neutral DXY and VIX levels. With low volume across assets, traders should be cautious and look for opportunities to enter the market when conviction is stronger, particularly in assets like BTC and ETH that are currently neutral versus their 20-day moving averages.

Bullish overall bias remains intact with an emphasis on AUD/USD, as it trades above its 20-day moving average and has a normal yield curve. Traders should focus on long positions in AUD/USD, while other pairs appear neutral, awaiting potential shifts in market conditions.

Bullish bias driven by strength in NVDA, AAPL, and energy stocks (XOM, CVX), but caution is warranted due to bearish signals in AMD, MSFT, ORCL, and PLTR, alongside low volume indicating weak conviction.

09:02 PM UTC

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