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Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed

What does this mean? →

USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral

Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate

10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable

Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. 11

Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. --

Regime Extreme fear - contrarian bullish Stressed

↑ Contrarian Bullish Contrarian signal: When fear is extreme, markets often overreact. Historically, buying during extreme fear has led to better returns. Fear & Greed at 11 The Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). Values below 25 or above 75 often signal turning points.

📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.

Updated 8m ago

● Elevated Activity Tension score 30

🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.

Updated 2h ago

Crypto

38% bullish

Fed

50% dovish

Recession

30% odds

Top Markets:

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? 0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps af... 1%
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.... 4%

△ Cautious — mixed signals from prediction markets

Today's Signals

Updated 21:00 UTC

₿ CRYPTO

BTC, ETH

Bullish ↗

Today's crypto market analysis is bullish, driven by Bitcoin and Ethereum's strength above their 20-day moving averages and low sentiment levels. Traders should be cautious of potential reversal risks given the overall bullish stance across assets.

The overall bias remains neutral, with a mixed macro context and neutral readings from the DXY and VIX. Traders should be cautious of potential reversals in all assets that are currently bullish, or potential bounces in assets that are currently bearish, due to the neutral overall bias.

Overall bias is bullish, driven by strength in AAPL and CVX, but weak conviction persists due to low volume and mixed positioning across assets; focus on bullish plays while monitoring broader market sentiment.

09:02 PM UTC

Moderate

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