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Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed

What does this mean? →

USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral

Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate

10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable

Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. 5

Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. --

Regime Extreme fear - contrarian bullish Stressed

↑ Contrarian Bullish Contrarian signal: When fear is extreme, markets often overreact. Historically, buying during extreme fear has led to better returns. Fear & Greed at 5 The Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). Values below 25 or above 75 often signal turning points.

📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.

Updated 11m ago

● Elevated Activity Tension score 30

🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.

Updated 2h ago

Crypto

44% bullish

Fed

50% dovish

Recession

30% odds

Top Markets:

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on Febr... 100%
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.... 3%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps ... 1%

△ Cautious — mixed signals from prediction markets

Today's Signals

Updated 21:00 UTC

₿ CRYPTO

BTC, ETH

Neutral →

The overall market bias remains neutral, with the macro context showing mixed trends in the DXY and VIX indices. Traders should be cautious of potential reversals given the bullish sentiment across all assets, which could lead to a reversal risk.

The overall market bias remains bullish as the DXY and VIX indices are neutral, indicating a stable macro environment. Key drivers for today's trading include the neutral USD/JPY and EUR/USD pairs, with the USD/CAD and AUD/USD pairs showing mild upward momentum above their 20-day moving averages.

The overall bias is bullish, driven by strength in NVDA, XOM, and CVX, which are trading above their 20D MA with healthy RSI levels. However, caution is warranted due to bearish signals in AMD, MSFT, ORCL, and PLTR, alongside low volume indicating weak conviction.

09:02 PM UTC

Mixed signals

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