Trading Glossary

Key terms and concepts used in our signals. Click any term for the full explanation.

Jump to Term

Signal

A directional bias (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) generated by our automated analysis. Signals indicate the likely near-term direction of an asset or category.

Bias

The directional lean of an asset based on technical indicators. Bullish = likely to rise, Bearish = likely to fall, Neutral = no clear direction.

Confluence

When multiple independent indicators agree on direction. Our system uses 3-indicator confluence: Trend + Volume + Strength. Higher confluence = stronger signal.

Macro Context

The broader market environment that affects all assets. Includes risk sentiment (Risk-On/Risk-Off), VIX volatility, dollar strength (DXY), and geopolitical factors.

Risk-On

Market conditions favoring risky assets (stocks, crypto). Characterized by low VIX, weak dollar, and optimistic sentiment. Growth assets tend to outperform.

Risk-Off

Market conditions favoring safe-haven assets (bonds, gold, USD, JPY). Characterized by high VIX, strong dollar, fear in markets. Defensive positioning recommended.

Fear & Greed Index

A 0-100 sentiment indicator for crypto. Extreme Fear (<25) often signals buying opportunities. Extreme Greed (>75) often precedes corrections. We use it as a contrarian signal.

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

A momentum oscillator measuring recent price changes. RSI > 70 = overbought (potential pullback). RSI < 30 = oversold (potential bounce). Used in our Strength indicator.

20-Day Moving Average (MA20)

The average price over the last 20 trading days. Price above MA20 = uptrend. Price below MA20 = downtrend. Core component of our Trend indicator.

Volume

The number of shares/coins traded. High volume confirms price moves (conviction). Low volume suggests weak moves (likely to reverse). Our second independent indicator.

Funding Rate

In crypto perpetual futures, the rate paid between longs and shorts. Positive = longs pay shorts (crowded long, bearish signal). Negative = shorts pay longs (crowded short, bullish signal).

DXY (Dollar Index)

Measures the US Dollar against a basket of currencies. Rising DXY = strong dollar = typically bearish for risk assets. Key forex macro indicator.

VIX (Volatility Index)

The 'fear gauge' measuring expected S&P 500 volatility. VIX > 25 = elevated fear. VIX > 35 = crisis levels. Low VIX = complacency (can precede corrections).

Yield Curve (2Y-10Y Spread)

The difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. Inverted (negative) = recession warning. Normal (positive) = healthy economy. Key macro regime indicator.

Market Regime

The current market phase based on volatility, sentiment, and economic indicators. Regimes include: Normal, Stressed, Crisis, Apathy. Different strategies work in different regimes.

Example: Bias in Action

Here's what each bias type looks like on our signal pages:

Bullish Likely to rise
Neutral No clear direction
Bearish Likely to fall

Now that you know the terms, see them in action:

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