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Crypto Signal
Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 08:00 UTC
Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed
USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral
Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate
10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable
Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. --
Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. --
Regime Market regime based on events, sentiment, volatility. --
📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.
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🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.
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Bullish ↗
Macro: Mixed
Feb 4, 2026 at 08:00 UTC
We maintain a bullish overall bias in the crypto market, driven by neutral macro conditions and a stable dollar index. Today's key focus is on Bitcoin, which remains neutral due to its positioning below its 20-day moving average and a sentiment score of 14, indicating fear and caution among traders.
Latest Prices
btc price
76414.07
Bullish Triggers
No bullish triggers identified today
Risk Factors
- Standard market conditions
Missing assets: ETH
Changes vs Previous
Overall Bias:Neutral → Bullish