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Crypto Signal

Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 16:00 UTC

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Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed

What does this mean? →

USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral

Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate

10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable

Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. --

Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. --

Regime Market regime based on events, sentiment, volatility. --

📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.

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🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.

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Neutral →

Macro: Mixed

Feb 4, 2026 at 16:00 UTC

Today's crypto market analysis suggests a bearish bias for BTC, driven by its position below the 20-day moving average and a sentiment reading of 14, indicating fear. Traders should be cautious of potential bounces across all assets, despite the neutral macro context.