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Crypto Signal

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 08:00 UTC

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Market Mixed signals from the market. Consider smaller positions or wait for clearer direction. Mixed

What does this mean? →

USD US Dollar strength. Strong dollar typically hurts crypto and commodities. Weak dollar often means risk-on. Neutral

Volatility Market fear gauge (VIX). Low = calm markets. High = fearful, prices may swing wildly. Moderate

10Y Rate US Treasury yields. Rising rates compete with stocks. Falling rates are bullish for risk assets. Stable

Sentiment Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Low = buying opportunity. High = overheated. --

Spread 10Y minus 2Y Treasury yield. Negative (inverted) warns of recession. --

Regime Market regime based on events, sentiment, volatility. --

📡 Live News Monitor Real-time geopolitical monitoring via GDELT. Scans global news every 6 hours for events that could impact markets: tariffs, sanctions, military conflicts, political crises.

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○ Initializing Setting up geopolitical monitoring...

🔮 Prediction Markets Real-money prediction markets from Polymarket. Shows what traders are betting on for crypto prices, Fed policy, and economic outcomes. High recession odds or bearish crypto sentiment can dampen signals.

Initializing...

Bullish ↗

Macro: Mixed

Feb 12, 2026 at 08:00 UTC

Our overall market bias remains bullish, driven by neutral macro context and mixed asset performance. Traders should remain cautious due to low volume across assets, particularly in BTC and ETH, which are both trading below their 20-day moving averages with extremely bearish sentiment.